CRM Tips: When Leads Lie

Leads are the start of the new business pipeline. But the more meaningful number is the number of sales cycles started in a period: Focus on this metric and you'll get the right people working together.

By David Taber
Mon, August 10, 2009

CIO — The business purpose of CRM is to capture new customers more quickly, grow them more predictably, and keep them as loyal repeat customers. A CRM system should streamline the revenue business process and make every revenue dollar more profitable. And it will—providing you focus on optimizing the overall revenue business process, not individual point measurements like "new leads."

"If you can't describe what you are doing as a business process, you don't know what you are doing" -- W. Edwards Deming.

The revenue business process starts with market planning, audience targeting, and outreach campaigns, and it ends with collections. The process spans marketing, sales, customer service, delivery/fulfillment, and accounting departments. While the sales cycle may take only a few weeks, the revenue process cycle is several months (if not several quarters) in B2B environments. A flow-chart of the revenue business process will often take up an entire wall, and will include a surprising number of question marks. Trust me, it's more complicated than you think.

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Why do leads lie?

Leads lie because we think they're saying something that they aren't. A lead is not ready to buy. They're typically not even ready to talk with one of your sales reps. A lead is merely somebody who indicated "tell me a little more," by clicking on a link, responding to an email, or registering on a site.

Marketing wants to look good, so they market the value of leads. Easy to measure, straightforward to buy. Declare victory.

Unfortunately, Sales wants to make money this quarter—and they optimistically jump at the idea of 100 new prospects a day. But they quickly find that those 100 leads don't want to take a meeting, and the inevitable frustration with marketing starts to set in.

If you think of the revenue business process as a refinery, it takes in low-grade ore and purifies it to gold. Leads are the low-grade ore, often with conversion rates of 1 percent or less, ready for refining but not for final use. Until the leads are cultivated, nurtured, qualified, and converted to contacts, there is no sales cycle. In many B2B and B2C businesses, the unqualified leads that are in the nurturing cycle may be numbered in the millions. Industry statistics show that up to 40 percent of leads may make their first purchase after having been in the "remarketing database" for 18 months or longer. Even though the exact statistics depend on your industry and target market, this principle applies equally to B2B and B2C markets. This is the whole purpose of marketing automation systems that integrate with your CRM system.

When do leads lie?

For most companies, the number of leads is, by itself, almost always meaningless for the big picture. (The exception is when you're getting almost no leads: this can't be good.) Leads are a nice indicator of market interest, but like measures of "visibility" or "market impressions" it is not a direct predictor of good times ahead.

Leads start to get meaningful when you include measurements of lead quality, such as conversion ratios, scores, and frequency of activity. They get more and more significant as the leads pass through qualification and conversion steps. But understanding and assessing all the subtleties takes way too much time for most users: they just want to see a number that's meaningful.

And the meaningful number, both for Sales and the overall business process, is the number of sales cycles started in a period. The number will be much lower than what the execs like to throw around—and it's throttled by the speed and skill of the sales reps. But by focusing attention on the number of sales cycles started, it forces the marketing, pre-sales, and sales teams to work together. They have to think about what it takes to create and execute a first customer meeting, and figure out how to do that more repeatably. Instead of trying to load up the CRM system with 10,000 new leads, marketing will be trying to figure out how to get 100 people interested and motivated enough to take a call. They'll collaborate on scripts for the telesales folks, and work to solve conversion rate problems, and try to optimize the number and cost of those sales-cycle starts.

But I Still Like Looking at Leads

Of course leads are a good thing. But there's one more problem with them: despite what you think, they don't really connect with the revenue pipeline. Here's why:

1. When a lead matures, it doesn't become an opportunity (deal). It becomes a contact in your CRM system.

2. When a contact matures and starts a sales cycle, it doesn't become an opportunity either. The contact might be connected to an opportunity, but in real world CRM systems this happens less than 40 percent of the time (in B2B, it may happen less than 10 percent of the time).

3. So when you look at your revenue pipeline, most of the deals won't refer back to leads. It'll make your lead gen look less important than it really is. This goes double if you use the Named Account model of selling.

Even though leads are part of the revenue business process, in most real-world CRM systems its hard to connect lead analysis to pipeline analysis.

The bottom line: by focusing on sales-cycle starts (opportunity-creates) rather than leads (visibility events), you'll be able to measure something that's meaningful to the business and provide a solid basis for collaboration among marketing, pre-sales, and sales teams. And that's the whole point of CRM.

David Taber is the author of the new Prentice Hall book, "Salesforce.com Secrets of Success" and is the CEO of SalesLogistix, a certified Salesforce.com consultancy focused on business process improvement through use of CRM systems. SalesLogistix clients are in North America, Europe, Israel, and India, and David has over 25 years experience in high tech, including 10 years at the VP level or above.

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