Mobile Predictions for 2012: Security, Payments, Windows Phone and More's Al Sacco gathers a handful of mobile and wireless predictions from industry experts on subjects like mobile malware, mobile payments and location-based services and offers his take on which predictions will come true--and which will fall through.

Tue, December 13, 2011
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4) Microsoft and Windows Phone in 2012

Dudley at Sybase 365 says: "Windows Mobile 7 will begin to make a resurgence in the second part of 2012, partially helped by Nokia devices and as well as their Skype acquisition. By the end of the year, it will surpass Samsungs Bada moving into the top 4 smartphone platforms: Android, iOS, BlackBerry, Windows Mobile 7."

Microsoft Windows Phone 7.5 Handsets
Microsoft Windows Phone 7.5 Handsets

Sacco's Take:

More Windows Phone devices will very likely translate into more Windows Phone users. And the release of a number of cool, new Nokia handsets with Windows Phone software will certainly offer more Windows mobile device options. But to say that Windows Phone will make a "resurgence" seems like a bit of stretch from where I'm standing. (It's also worth noting that there's no such thing as "Windows Mobile 7,"and the fact that Mr. Dudley isn't aware that Microsoft's latest mobile OS is called Windows Phone 7.5 probably doesn't bode well for his prediction...)

I don't really think Windows Phone 7.5 will gain much ground in 2012. I can count the number of people I know who use Windows Phones on one hand, and I'm a mobile blogger. And it's hard for me to see Microsoft's mobile OS really taking off, at least in the United States. However, considering the fact that very few current mobile devices run Samsung's Bada OS, at least in the grand scheme of things, it does stand to reason that Windows Phone will overtake Bada in market share, simply because so many new Windows Phone options will become available to consumers in 2012, via new Nokia handsets like the Lumia lineup.


Al Sacco covers Mobile and Wireless for Follow Al on Twitter @ASacco. Follow everything from on Twitter @CIOonline and on Facebook. Email Al at

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