Wall Street Beat: Tech Earnings Season Could Be Stormy
Many forecasts indicate a soft quarter, as IBM, Intel, Google and Microsoft get ready to issue financial reports
Fri, January 13, 2012
IDG News Service — Get ready for a perfect storm of earnings news. With tech bellwethers including IBM, Microsoft, Intel and Google set to issue financial reports next week, earnings season will pick up in earnest and judging from recent forecasts and profit warnings, it could be a bumpy ride.
Both IDC and Gartner this week reported that fourth-quarter PC sales slipped from a year earlier. Though the software sector is widely expected to do better than hardware this year, a weak PC market affects not only chip makers like Intel, but software makers whose revenue depends to some degree on sales of applications on new PCs.
"While economic uncertainty in Western Europe had an effect on consumer PC shipments, expectations of a healthier economic outlook in North America could not stimulate consumer PC demand in that region," said Mikako Kitagawa, principal analyst at Gartner , in the company's report on quarterly PC sales Thursday. "The healthy professional PC market as well as growth in emerging markets could not compensate for the weaknesses in mature markets, with overall growth still negative."
Worldwide PC shipments totaled 92.2 million units in the fourth quarter of 2011, a 1.4 percent decline from the fourth quarter of 2010, according to Gartner.
On its part, IDC Wednesday also said that sales of personal computers slowed in the last three months of 2011, due to a weak economy, scarce hard drives as a results of flooding in Thailand and the competition from tablets. According to IDC's calculations, global PC shipments totaled 92.7 million in the fourth quarter of 2011, down 0.1 percent compared with the same quarter in 2010.
Intel in part blamed supply disruptions from the flooding in Thailand when it issued an earnings warning last month. The company forecast fourth-quarter sales of US$13.7 billion, plus or minus $300 million. Its previous estimate was for $14.7 billion, within a range of $500 million.
But earnings warnings have not been the sole province of hardware and components makers lately. Juniper Networks, for example, said Monday that its fourth quarter 2011 results will be softer than expected due to a weakening in demand for carrier routers. Juniper said revenue for the quarter is now expected to be in the range of $1.11 billion to $1.12 billion, compared to the company's previous forecast of $1.16 billion to $1.22 billion.
Philips Electronics also warned about weak fourth-quarter profits, in its case due to soft European consumer markets. The company, Europe's biggest consumer electronics maker, said earnings will decrease to about 500 million (US$638 million) from 910 million a year earlier.
