Beyond Ajax: Software Development, Two Years from Now

Ajax has dramatically changed the lives of Web developers during the past two years, but the next two may be even more interesting. These developers—spurred by user expectations, rapidly evolving business models and ever-changing development processes—will need to do things they can't even imagine today. And how can a forward-thinking IT department or entrepreneur—who is so dependent on innovative software developers—prepare for that future?

ARTICLES IN THIS SERIES: THE FUTURE OF WEB DEVELOPMENT

>>Beyond Ajax: Software Development, Two Years from Now<<

Convergence of Desktop, Web and Mobile Clients

The Immersive, Cinematic Application: Improving the User Experience

Making Development Less Difficult, or Interceding with the Browser Gods

Are Web Browsers Ready for the Next Generation of Internet Applications?

Web Browsers of Tomorrow

To find out, we could have asked prominent Web developers to gaze into their crystal balls. Doing so, however, would have been dangerous: They'd have told us what the industry wanted to see rather than what we're likely to see.

Instead, we approached the tool builders. These technology experts—who run development tool companies and lead open-source projects—lie awake at night contemplating what's next. More importantly, the programming environments and frameworks that these visionaries create are the ones developers will use to build their applications. If these guys think a user or programmer need is inevitable, you can expect their next generation of Web development tools to answer the call.

We sat down with key toolmakers from Microsoft to Adobe, and from both proprietary companies and open-source projects, to learn their view of the future. And we spoke to the techies and designers, not the marketers. Their predictions address the next round of developer opportunities, problems—and consequences.

Our Experts

We spoke with...

• David Wadhwani, vice president, RIA platform, platform business unit at Adobe
• David Temkin, CTO at Laszlo Systems
• David Intersimone, CodeGear (previously Borland), vice president of developer relations and chief evangelist
• Tim Bray, director of Web technologies, Sun Microsystems
• Bob Brewin, a Sun Distinguished Engineer and chief technology officer for software
• Mike Schroepfer, Mozilla's VP of engineering
• Scott Guthrie, general manager, .Net development platform, Microsoft
• Brian Goldfarb, group product manager, UX platform and tools strategy, Microsoft
• Dean Hachamovich, general manager of Internet Explorer, Microsoft
• Jean-François Abramatic, chief product officer at ILOG, who also served as chairman of the W3C (currently he's on the W3C Advisory Board) and as a director of the Internet Corporation for Assigned Names and Numbers (ICANN)
• Jochen Krause, CEO of Innoopract (the company behind Eclipse RAP)
• Alex Russell, project lead for the open-source Dojo Toolkit

Fair warning: Crystal ball gazing usually involves a murky date stamp. As Microsoft general manager for the .Net development platform, Scott Guthrie says, "We overestimate what will happen in the next two years and we dramatically underestimate what will happen in the next 10."

Start here: Convergence of Desktop, Web and Mobile Clients