Reader ROI\n* Learn how a company in trouble is making all the right IT moves?and may still lose\n* Get inside the high-stakes process of choosing key vendors\n* Understand unique supply chain challenges facing supermarketsAt the turn of the century, dappled gray horses pulled A&P\u2019s red wagons through the streets of lower Manhattan in a marketing scheme designed to lure shoppers to the store. Decades later one of those shiny red wagons adorns the lobby of the grocery chain\u2019s headquarters in Montvale, N.J.?a nod to the supermarket company\u2019s glory days, but also a glaring reminder of its image as an old-fashioned outfit that has fallen dangerously behind its competitors. While its biggest rivals are benefiting from years of investments in IT and other areas, A&P now faces a life or death test.The 142-year-old grocer, known officially as the Great Atlantic & Pacific Tea Co., has put its future on the line with a four- year, $250 million systems and supply chain overhaul that will ultimately replace close to 95 percent of its current applications. Saddled with an antiquated IT infrastructure and facing threats from new grocery entrants such as Wal-Mart Stores, discount club stores and convenience stores, A&P had little choice but to take an axto its legacy systems and outdated business practices. Now, the company faces an uphill battle?and a tide of skepticism from Wall Street investors?as it prepares to implement an ERP-type system it hopes will transform A&P from old-time grocer to a high-tech retailer equipped to compete. "This is virtually \u2019Bet the company,\u2019" says Nicholas L. Ioli Jr., senior vice president and CIO, who was brought in a year-and-a-half ago to oversee the IT project. "If we\u2019re going to be a player in the industry, we\u2019ve got to leapfrog our competition. We\u2019re talking strategic change."A&P\u2019s a famous brand?to your grandparents. In 1912, A&P stores instituted "cash and carry" transactions at a time others kept customer tabs. A&P was among the first grocers to make its own products like A&P Bokar Coffee (which Cmdr. Richard Byrd carried on his 1929 Antarctica expedition). The company launched Woman\u2019s Day magazine in 1937. And at its loftiest, A&P\u2019s revenue in 1950 was second only to General Motors. But that was then. The company has struggled for the past decade to remain competitive with such grocery giants as The Kroger Co., Safeway and Ahold USA, a unit of the Netherlands\u2019 Royal Ahold, posting stagnant sales and neglecting its network of cobbled-together legacy information systems. In the late 1980s and early 1990s, the company made several large, ill-advised acquisitions that put a further drag on profits. In 1998, Christian Haub, the then 34-year-old scion of the family that owns Germany\u2019s Tengelmann Group, which owns 53 percent of the company, took over as CEO. He quickly closed more than 100 stores and opened "superstores" in an effort he optimistically called "Great Renewal." Results weren\u2019t as "great" nor was the "renewal" as swift, as some on Wall Street had hoped, and Haub soon embarked on the plan to overhaul the company\u2019s stumbling supply chain, which was severely handicapped by outdated technology and ineffective business processes.A&P, which operates 750 stores in 16 states, the District of Columbia and Ontario, Canada, and includes the A&P, the Food Emporium and Waldbaum\u2019s marquees, is far from alone in its decision to invest heavily in IT in an attempt to turn its struggling business around. Other industries, including manufacturing and airlines, are also making full-scale, public efforts to use IT to get closer to customers and Web-enable their supply chains. For the grocery business, which struggles with razor-thin margins and increasing competitive pressures, an integrated, ERP-like system could bring even more marked benefits, Ioli says. Still, A&P\u2019s complex IT plan for the traditionally non-techy grocery industry poses great risk. Those in the industry are watching closely. "If A&P does succeed, it will reinforce the inclination of grocery chains and their senior management boards to bet their thin margin businesses on IT investments," says Greg Girard, an analyst at AMR Research in Boston.Defying the skepticism, A&P has embarked on a shared-risk partnership with IBM and the Minneapolis software company Retek. While the vendors involved are banking on A&P\u2019s success to further their reputations in the retail sector, the supermarket chain hopes the effort will catapult it from industry laggard to market leader. (see "A More Perfect Union," Page 88.)Trudging UphillWhen Haub unveiled plans for the IT and business process overhaul he called "Great Renewal II" in March 2000, the response from Wall Street was sharply negative. The company\u2019s stock price, which had long hovered around $20 to $30 per share, began a steep decline, sinking to a 52-week low of $6 per share at the end of December. Wall Street analysts, already disappointed by the pace of A&P\u2019s turnaround, complained that such a heavy investment was taking value away from shareholders by cutting into company earnings and urged investors to hold or sell their A&P shares. "The Great Renewal projects are absolutely needed, but they are significantly late," says Mark Husson, an equity analyst at New York City-based Merrill Lynch, which has a sell rating on the stock. "Every time they take a step forward, they take two steps backward. The management team has missed budgets for 10 years in a row and only recently has senior management been held accountable." Husson added that the company\u2019s share price has taken a beating from weaker-than-expected sales and earnings reports and a propensity to open larger and more expensive stores without guaranteeing adequate returns. The vote of no confidence didn\u2019t come as a huge surprise to Haub, who prefers the moniker chief culture change officer. "Wall Street is short-term oriented," Haub says. "If you tell them the payback will be visible in 18 months, they\u2019ll say that\u2019s far too long. They didn\u2019t understand how much work the company needed." He adds that A&P should save about $325 million during four years by lowering costs and improving product availability. And pretax operating profits should rise by $100 million per year once the overhaul is complete in 2004. Haub also dismisses suggestions by some analysts that the company might need to look for a global partner, noting that his family\u2019s Tengelmann Group is one of the 10 largest retailers in the world with $25 billion in annual sales. "We\u2019re not interested in selling the company," he says. "A&P has internal potential that we need to realize."Inside A&P\u2019s wood-paneled campus in suburban Montvale, N.J., 25 miles from lower Manhattan, the mood is resolutely upbeat. Colorful posters with perky slogans like "We\u2019re fresh obsessed" and "The power of one?you can make a difference" cover the walls, and IT executives stroll through cubicles in khakis and polo shirts that are the norm since Haub (or simply Christian as he is known to everyone in the company) took over. "We\u2019re dedicated to proving Wall Street wrong," says Frank Urbaniak, vice president of program management. In fact, Urbaniak says, the negative feedback from Wall Street serves as a powerful motivator. "The lower the stock gets, the more you see [our determination] around here."Upstairs from the IT department, Ioli sits in his spacious office talking excitedly about the project that he describes as his "biggest challenge ever." As CIO at Citizens Utilities in Stamford, Conn., and Ethan Allen Interiors in Danbury, Conn., before that, Ioli says he specialized in taking companies through "significant transformation and aligning IS strategy with corporate goals and objectives." During his career, he has watched CIOs evolve from operational managers who delivered on promises to strategic partners. "If you\u2019re not aligned with business leaders, you can\u2019t bring to bear the innovation that an enterprise needs," he says. Still, when a recruiter gave him a call about the A&P job in the spring of 1999, he had some major concerns. He knew that the grocery segment is low margin and highly competitive, and he found after doing some research that A&P had not invested in IT relative to its peers. Most of the company\u2019s applications, which hadn\u2019t been updated in 12 to 15 years, were written in custom code, Cobol and CICS (customer information control system), and 85 percent were accessed through terminals hooked to two IBM mainframes, one in New Jersey and another in Maryland. In an era when some grocery retailers were starting sophisticated customer loyalty programs, A&P had no way to analyze data from customers or suppliers. "We had extremely antiquated systems, from finance to merchandising systems to store and warehousing systems," Ioli says. "There were huge gaps in our data flow and no data warehousing at all."Retailers like A&P often suffer from vast information gulfs, since disjointed distribution systems mean back-office operations rarely have clear information about what is selling in the stores, says Patrick Mullarkey, partner in Booz, Allen & Hamilton\u2019s IT practice in Chicago. "They lose visibility of the product once it goes into the store," Mullarkey says, adding that Wal-Mart is one retailer that has bucked the trend by driving efficiencies in its supply chain by centralizing its distribution network.Despite the clear difficulties, Ioli says he took the job because he felt he could work closely with Haub on technology, but also help oversee training and other large-scale change-management programs that go along with such a massive overhaul. "I\u2019m at the strategy table here," says Ioli, pounding his hand on a circular table for emphasis. "He [Haub] understands we can\u2019t transform this company without IT. We\u2019re reinventing the office of the CIO here. It\u2019s not just about IT?it\u2019s about knowledge management and process management. It\u2019s about business strategy."A Brave New ERPIn his first days on the job, Ioli faced the daunting task of choosing a vendor, or vendors, to help A&P build an ERP system for the grocery industry, where custom code is more the norm. With help from IBM as a consultant, Ioli, Haub and other top executives first considered the best-of-breed approach that would involve buying several off-the-shelf packages for each area of the supply chain. That approach, however, would involve "building a lot of interfaces," Ioli says, noting that speedy implementation was key. While he implemented an SAP system on time and under budget in his previous job at Citizen Utilities, Ioli knew that no ERP vendor provided software designed specifically for the grocery segment, where perishable items must move swiftly through the supply chain, he says. Perishable items such as milk, fruit and meat all have different shelf lives and demand different types of warehousing, complicating the traditional retail supply chain. With milk, for example, it\u2019s important to maintain a "cold chain" throughout purchasing, warehousing and distribution. One break in that chain means the product is lost. Purchasing also becomes more complicated in the grocery industry because items are purchased regionally, nationally and internationally. While competitors are updating their systems, Ioli calls A&P\u2019s effort "the first attempt to strategically reengineer a company and get as close to an ERP as we can" in the grocery industry. "We believe the technology and functionality will allow us to move ahead of the competition," he says.A&P chose Retek after bringing a group of vendors together for what Ioli calls a "bake off." A&P vetted the potential suitors around four main categories: features and functions, technology strategy, viability of the company and cost. "We were looking for a core system where all of our item and merchandising information would reside," Ioli says. "We needed functionality around category management, merchandising, procurement, promotion, pricing and forecasting?including the perishable side of the grocery industry."Retek, a leader in retail software, scored high from a technology perspective since it had experience developing systems for major retailers such as Eckerd and Ann Taylor, as well as some smaller grocery chains in Europe and Asia. Ioli was concerned, however, about tying up A&P\u2019s future with a smaller company, even though there were no signs of trouble at Retek, which posted $69 million in 1999 revenues and was on track to grow last year. "I took a hard look and said, \u2019Am I going to bet a $10 billion company\u2019s future on a company that small?\u2019" Ioli says. "If they go to a position of vulnerability, we\u2019re very exposed."To ease the concern, Ioli brokered a three-way partnership with Retek and IBM, which is serving as systems integrator. As a part of the contractual agreement, Retek will own the code in the end and A&P will share in the royalties if it\u2019s sold to other grocery companies. Significantly, IBM has taken an equity stake in Retek and now has a team of developers working at the Minneapolis software company. Though it\u2019s early in the project, all three parties rave about the arrangement. "The broad strategic partnership with A&P and Retek is a model of how we seek to work with customers," says Rob Hafker, IBM\u2019s national practice executive for retail headquartered in Armonk, N.Y.Retek is now in the midst of building core retail applications for purchasing, merchandising and inventory management that are scheduled for delivery in three stages; the first was due in December. The Retek system, which will also include a data warehouse and a demand forecasting application, will eventually be integrated with a warehouse management system from OMI International, a transportation system from Manugistics of Rockville, Md., and store systems from Tomax in Dallas, and Salt Lake City\u2019s SofTechnics. Oracle will be used for financial and human resources. The transportation application is already up and running in Canada and others will be implemented early this year. "One person described it as a symphony," Ioli says. "We\u2019ve got the score, and we know how all the parts tie together. Now we have to play the music."Facing Big RisksAs with any grand performance, however, the opportunities for missteps and failures are legion. Say the words enterprise resource planning and some high-profile failures come to mind (drug distributor Fox Meyer Corp., now part of McKesson, liquidated after ERP problems; Hershey Foods\u2019 1999 Halloween and holiday candy distribution delays hit its bottom line). Supermarkets have had their share. In November 1998, supermarket operator Nash Finch Co. backed out of a major SAP project after investing more than $70 million. One month later, a 100-store supermarket chain in Central America, Corporacion de Sumermercados Unidos of Costa Rica, told Computerworld (a sister company to CIO\u2019s publisher, CXO Media) its $7 million SAP retail project was late and significantly over budget. "Retailers have not been known to be smart investors in information technology," says AMR\u2019s Girard. A&P\u2019s task is larger, of course. And with such a large project, major risks include scope creep, exceeding the budget and losing control of vendors. "When you get into the middle of a large project, especially when you\u2019re working with external people, there\u2019s a tendency for the project to grow," says Yvonne Genovese, research director in collaborative commerce for the Gartner Group in Stamford, Conn. Genovese says that projects like A&P\u2019s, with broad ambitions and scope, are likely to go over budget. What\u2019s more, she adds, finding IT staff qualified to work on ERP-type projects is a challenge in the current job market. "Many of the ERP players have moved to e-business," she says.Still, installing the technology is the easy part, experts say. A&P has a good chance of completing the project on time and roughly on budget, says AMR\u2019s Girard. Some ERP projects falter, however, when it comes time to train thousands of employees to work on a new set of systems. "You can\u2019t control human nature," Genovese says. "If [A&P] rolls this system out to the users after they\u2019ve put it together, there\u2019s a high probability the users will push back and not use some of the functionality." Adds Booz, Allen\u2019s Mullarkey, "When you think about 750 stores with a lot of part-time help and high turnover, there\u2019s an awful lot to absorb." Mullarkey calls the plan "ambitious" given the scope and the pressures in the grocery industry, but he approves of the business concepts. "If they can pull this off, it\u2019s very exciting. If they don\u2019t, there could be continuing erosion in competitive position."Ioli and his team acknowledge the risks but say a painstakingly detailed business plan, which involves weekly meetings between top management, team leaders and representatives from IBM and Retek, will help keep the project on schedule and budget. "A&P has approached this in a way that is very different than those who have failed," says IBM\u2019s Hafker, who says top management\u2019s involvement in regular meetings and the phased implementation bode well for the project. Eight A&P employees work exclusively in a program office in Montvale, monitoring the project\u2019s schedules, status reports and budget (see "All the Right Moves," left).Ioli also emphasizes that only 35 percent of the $250 million investment will pay for the technology, while 65 percent will go toward training, communications and managing and measuring performance. In fact, the primary teams assembled to attack the project include one to address business processes, another to look at change management and a third to oversee IT. In the change-management section, separate groups are focusing on communications, training and performance metrics. Much of the employee training will be Web based, Ioli notes.As for attracting IT staff, Ioli recognizes the difficulty but says A&P is looking to double the 150-member IT department before the end of the project in three-and-a-half years. The company is planning a massive advertising campaign in the New York-New Jersey region to attract staff and is increasingly outsourcing select noncore IT functions such as legacy application maintenance at its center in Montvale, along with simple help-desk requests and desktop support. Miles of Aisles to GoIn a recent American Express ad, Haub poses with hand on hip near a coffee bar in a shiny new A&P superstore in Flanders, N.J. He\u2019s grinning and holding a Styrofoam cup of coffee above a caption reading, "To stay on top, try a blend of traditional values and fresh ideas." Of course, A&P isn\u2019t on top yet in the industry, and observers say it will take a while to convince investors that the Great Renewal projects are worth the effort and heavy cost. If all goes according to plan, Ioli says, the well-lit, spacious A&P in the American Express ad will be the norm rather than the exception. In three-and-a-half years, a Web-enabled supply chain will improve relations with suppliers and customers; information from customer purchases will be analyzed by data warehouses, leading to better customer service and shelves stocked with the most desired and freshest products; and customers will zoom through self- checkout lines. Already, A&P has joined the World Wide Retail Exchange, a B2B marketplace in which large retailers, including CVS, Kmart and Target, can do business with their suppliers (A&P joined under the auspices of its parent, Tengelmann Group). The company has installed self-checkout systems in 90 stores, Ioli says, and in the not-too-distant future some form of online ordering will allow customers to shop at work and pick up groceries on the way home.A recent visit to an A&P in the tony Boston suburb of Duxbury, Mass., however, shows the chain has a ways to go in projecting its new customer-centric image. A Coupon Xpress machine that promised instant savings was out of service, while dimly lit aisles and limited selection spoke more of old-time grocers than spiffy, high-tech superstores. "A&P is a company that didn\u2019t do a lot of things others were doing over the past two or three years, such as putting capital in their stores and focusing on customer service," says Meredith Adler, an equity analyst at Lehman Brothers in New York City. "They needed to make these investments [in Great Renewal II] in order to stay an independent entity. But in this tough competitive environment, it may be a while before we see the benefits."